Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000069 0.000082 0.000096 0.000112 0.000131 0.000150 0.000172
2025-03-23 0.000053 0.000070 0.000089 0.000113 0.000141 0.000173 0.000211
2025-03-30 0.000043 0.000061 0.000084 0.000112 0.000147 0.000187 0.000237
2025-04-06 0.000034 0.000053 0.000078 0.000110 0.000150 0.000198 0.000260
2025-04-13 0.000031 0.000051 0.000077 0.000113 0.000160 0.000217 0.000291
2025-04-20 0.000025 0.000044 0.000071 0.000109 0.000160 0.000224 0.000307
2025-04-27 0.000021 0.000040 0.000068 0.000109 0.000164 0.000234 0.000328
2025-05-04 0.000018 0.000037 0.000065 0.000108 0.000168 0.000245 0.000350
2025-05-11 0.000016 0.000036 0.000066 0.000112 0.000177 0.000263 0.000380
2025-05-18 0.000014 0.000034 0.000064 0.000113 0.000183 0.000276 0.000404
2025-05-25 0.000012 0.000030 0.000060 0.000109 0.000181 0.000279 0.000416
2025-06-01 0.000010 0.000027 0.000057 0.000108 0.000183 0.000287 0.000434
2025-06-08 0.000008 0.000025 0.000055 0.000107 0.000187 0.000298 0.000457
2025-06-15 0.000007 0.000023 0.000054 0.000109 0.000193 0.000312 0.000484
2025-06-22 0.000006 0.000021 0.000052 0.000107 0.000196 0.000322 0.000505
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000105 0.000196 0.000328 0.000522
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000019 0.000050 0.000108 0.000205 0.000346 0.000556
2025-07-13 0.000003 0.000016 0.000046 0.000105 0.000203 0.000349 0.000567
2025-07-20 0.000003 0.000015 0.000044 0.000104 0.000206 0.000358 0.000588
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000014 0.000043 0.000104 0.000209 0.000368 0.000610
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000013 0.000044 0.000107 0.000218 0.000387 0.000646
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000013 0.000043 0.000108 0.000223 0.000400 0.000672
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000011 0.000040 0.000104 0.000220 0.000401 0.000682